Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 URSU Marcel T. - - - 6% 33% 60%
2 ZWAKA Jonas - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
3 LEVY Jack - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
3 CAI xingzhi - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
5 LORENZ Evan - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
6 NELSON Micah 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
7 MCDONALD Finn - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
8 BANSAL Krishiv - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
9 WITCZAK Mateus - - 4% 21% 48% 28%
10 MIAO Heqi - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 7%
11 JI Johnson - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
12 PORTER Dupree - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
13 CIEMINS Henry - - 3% 18% 46% 34%
14 DE SIENA Salvatore - 2% 14% 39% 38% 7%
15 LOSQUADRO Joseph - 5% 25% 44% 23% 3%
16 KUSHKOV Michael 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
17 ROMBERG Sam 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
18 LIANG Morgan 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
19 LIU Eric - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
20 ZHANG Simon - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
21 TSAO Oliver - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
22 JANG Junyeong 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
23 CHEN Felix 2% 15% 32% 31% 16% 4% -
24 TSAO Alister 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
25 ZAY Elijah - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
26 CHANG Timothy 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
27 WU Vincent 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
28 CRAWFORD William - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
29 HOUSER Johnathan 13% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
30 LEUNG Arthur 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
31 SADHU Neiyam - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
32 STEWART Samuel 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
33 MANESCU Miron - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 34%
34 JIANG Terence 3% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1%
35 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 3% 18% 37% 32% 9% 1%
36 MACK Justin 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
38 MARSHQUIST Miles 25% 48% 23% 4% - -
39 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - 3% 16% 37% 35% 10%
39 YANG Byron 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
41 JARAMILLO Juan 2% 16% 41% 32% 8% 1%
42 BALE ATMAN - - 4% 22% 48% 27%
43 EASLEY Dallas 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
43 FORCE Joel 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
45 SONG Ryan 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
46 SANTOS Theodore 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
47 MARTINEZ Luke 13% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
48 LIEU Nicholas 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
49 KAPOOR Krish 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
50 FREILICH Harrison 9% 41% 35% 13% 2% - -
51 HAUSLER Jayden 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
51 YOUNG Navin 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
53 CHIEN Nolan 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
54 MUKHERJEE Aryan 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
55 VAN KOERT Akash 2% 18% 40% 31% 8% 1%
56 JIN Yubo 27% 46% 23% 4% - -
57 CONRADO David 34% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
58 COBITZ Harrison 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
59 GRIFFIN Sid 38% 45% 15% 2% - -
60 THACH Tri 62% 32% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.