Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
2 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
3 LEVY Jack 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
3 CAI xingzhi 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
5 LORENZ Evan 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
6 NELSON Micah 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 5%
7 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
8 BANSAL Krishiv 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
9 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
10 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
11 JI Johnson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
12 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
13 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
14 DE SIENA Salvatore 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 7%
15 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 100% 95% 70% 26% 3%
16 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
17 ROMBERG Sam 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
18 LIANG Morgan 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
19 LIU Eric 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
20 ZHANG Simon 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
21 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
22 JANG Junyeong 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% -
23 CHEN Felix 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
24 TSAO Alister 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
25 ZAY Elijah 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
26 CHANG Timothy 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
27 WU Vincent 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
28 CRAWFORD William 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
29 HOUSER Johnathan 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
30 LEUNG Arthur 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
31 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
32 STEWART Samuel 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
33 MANESCU Miron 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
34 JIANG Terence 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
35 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
36 MACK Justin 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4% -
38 MARSHQUIST Miles 100% 75% 27% 4% - -
39 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
39 YANG Byron 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
41 JARAMILLO Juan 100% 98% 82% 41% 9% 1%
42 BALE ATMAN 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
43 EASLEY Dallas 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
43 FORCE Joel 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
45 SONG Ryan 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
46 SANTOS Theodore 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 2%
47 MARTINEZ Luke 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
48 LIEU Nicholas 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
49 KAPOOR Krish 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
50 FREILICH Harrison 100% 91% 50% 15% 2% - -
51 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
51 YOUNG Navin 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
53 CHIEN Nolan 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
54 MUKHERJEE Aryan 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
55 VAN KOERT Akash 100% 98% 79% 40% 9% 1%
56 JIN Yubo 100% 73% 27% 5% - -
57 CONRADO David 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
58 COBITZ Harrison 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
59 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
60 THACH Tri 100% 38% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.