Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZOBEL Eric H. - - - 2% 16% 52% 31%
2 KATAYAMA Kevin - - - - - 10% 89%
3 DESANDO Michael R. - - - 3% 27% 71%
3 AKYAMAC Bora - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
5 JOSEPH Willem - - - 6% 27% 44% 22%
6 LUM-DEBONO Alex - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
7 HENDAWY Ahmed - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
8 SMITH Grant D. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 25% 6%
9 BELCHAMBER Mason - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8% 1%
10 TARCHICHI Robby - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
11 DAUM Charlie - 1% 7% 31% 50% 11%
12 SENANI Arjun - 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
13 GORLOVITZKI Amitai - 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
14 TAY Daniel Yee Jye - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
15 XING David 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
16 POLEBOYINA Amrit 2% 27% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
17 DEEB Adam - - 4% 22% 42% 27% 5%
18 SIEGEL Elliot - - - - 6% 37% 57%
19 WADLEY Brendan E. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
20 GATES Combustion 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
21 WU Dawei - 3% 22% 43% 26% 6% -
22 HAN Alexander - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% -
23 SMITH Liam C. - - - 1% 11% 45% 43%
24 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 4% 27% 47% 20% 3% - -
25 METZ Mason - 2% 15% 43% 34% 7% -
26 CENCE Myles K. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
27 SANTIAGO Elias 1% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2% -
27 THOMAS Liam 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2% -
29 PLUMMER Waylon - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
30 PETERSON Lucas - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
32 YANG Andy H. - - < 1% 3% 21% 46% 29%
33 GÉLINAS Jonathan - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
34 KOLBINGER Moritz 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9% -
35 ZOU Aaron - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
36 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 1% 10% 34% 41% 13% 1%
37 COZINE Owen N. - - - 4% 24% 52% 19%
38 LAO Kevin 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
39 BURAGOHAIN Aiden 8% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1% -
40 GRUNENWALD Henri - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
41 KAYE Ben 3% 22% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
42 AGARWAL Savya - 13% 43% 33% 9% 1% -
43 BAKSHI Aman - 5% 19% 33% 29% 13% 2%
44 MA Leon 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9% -
45 SANTHOSH Rithwik 35% 47% 16% 2% - - -
46 PEREZ Logan 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
47 ZHANG Julian 14% 41% 34% 10% 1% -
48 POPESCU Tudor - 1% 9% 37% 42% 11% 1%
49 AMEND Jake 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
50 TAM Kyle 7% 32% 41% 17% 2% -
51 ZAPPALA Nikolai 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
52 BENTLEY Nick 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
53 ROJAS Elijah 33% 44% 19% 3% - -
54 LIU Anthony 7% 53% 33% 7% - - -
55 MANLAPAZ Jan Vincent 81% 18% 1% - - - -
56 GALLER Dave 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
57 REN Ryan 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -
58 MCENTEE Owen 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
59 SCHOFIELD Benjamin J. 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
59 ZHANG Ethan 10% 39% 36% 13% 2% - -
61 HOE Kenneth Y. 28% 48% 20% 3% - - -
62 GRAY Toby R. 42% 40% 14% 3% - - -
63 ADLER Eli 83% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.