Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 31%
2 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
3 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
5 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 22%
6 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 35% 6%
7 HENDAWY Ahmed 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
8 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6%
9 BELCHAMBER Mason 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9% 1%
10 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
11 DAUM Charlie 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 11%
12 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
13 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
14 TAY Daniel Yee Jye 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
15 XING David 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
16 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 98% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
17 DEEB Adam 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
18 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
19 WADLEY Brendan E. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
20 GATES Combustion 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
21 WU Dawei 100% 100% 97% 75% 32% 6% -
22 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12% -
23 SMITH Liam C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 43%
24 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 96% 69% 22% 3% - -
25 METZ Mason 100% 100% 98% 84% 41% 7% -
26 CENCE Myles K. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
27 SANTIAGO Elias 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
27 THOMAS Liam 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2% -
29 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
30 PETERSON Lucas 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
32 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
33 GÉLINAS Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
34 KOLBINGER Moritz 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% -
35 ZOU Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
36 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 99% 89% 55% 14% 1%
37 COZINE Owen N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 19%
38 LAO Kevin 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
39 BURAGOHAIN Aiden 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
40 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
41 KAYE Ben 100% 97% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
42 AGARWAL Savya 100% 100% 87% 44% 10% 1% -
43 BAKSHI Aman 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
44 MA Leon 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9% -
45 SANTHOSH Rithwik 100% 65% 18% 2% - - -
46 PEREZ Logan 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
47 ZHANG Julian 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% -
48 POPESCU Tudor 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 12% 1%
49 AMEND Jake 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
50 TAM Kyle 100% 93% 61% 20% 2% -
51 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
52 BENTLEY Nick 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
53 ROJAS Elijah 100% 67% 23% 3% - -
54 LIU Anthony 100% 93% 40% 7% - - -
55 MANLAPAZ Jan Vincent 100% 19% 1% - - - -
56 GALLER Dave 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
57 REN Ryan 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
58 MCENTEE Owen 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
59 SCHOFIELD Benjamin J. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
59 ZHANG Ethan 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% - -
61 HOE Kenneth Y. 100% 72% 23% 3% - - -
62 GRAY Toby R. 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
63 ADLER Eli 100% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.