Swarthmore College Phoenix Cup C & Under

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 7:45 AM

Lamb-Miller Fieldhouse - Swarthmore, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ANDERSON Riley - 1% 11% 44% 36% 8%
2 ZANKOWSKI Brendan - 6% 27% 44% 23%
3 FLYNN Ian - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
3 ZHANG Jason 3% 22% 47% 23% 4% -
5 SPECTER Luka 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
6 CRANFORD Sean - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
7 LOPEZ Alexander - - 6% 33% 50% 11%
8 LEE Joel 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
9 SCHMIDT Paxton 12% 40% 38% 10% 1% -
10 CHONG LEE SHIN Maximilien 1% 16% 38% 34% 10%
11 ADAMS Mason 15% 39% 34% 11% 1%
12 BRENNAN Philip 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
13 NEPOMUCENO Elijah 30% 47% 19% 3% -
14 TRAN Alex 8% 35% 39% 15% 2% -
15 GUTIERREZ Willmer - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
16 WILKENS Lorelei 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
17 TULIO Nick J. 3% 28% 44% 21% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.