Event Results

Div II Mixed Foil

Swarthmore College Phoenix Cup C & UnderSurprise Map

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 11:45 AM Lamb-Miller Fieldhouse · Swarthmore, PA, USA

30 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	FLYNN Ian	V D V V V	V V V V V	4.3	4	-0.3
2	PEARCE Joseph	V V V V V	V V V D	3.8	5	+1.2
3	HECHT Joel	V V V V V	V V V D	3.4	5	+1.6
3	RASK Galen	V V V V V	V V V D	2.7	5	+2.3
5	XU Andrew H.	V V V V V	V D	4.2	5	+0.8
6	SIELSKI Evan	V V V V V	V D	3.6	5	+1.4
7	BISHOP Henry	V D V V V	V V D	4.4	4	-0.4
8	SIMMONS Cole	V V V D V	V V D	2.8	4	+1.2
9	ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne	V D V V V	V D	1.8	4	+2.2
10	SCIARROTTA Andy	V V D V D	V D	1.7	3	+1.3
11	SMITH Clara	D V V D D	V D	3.0	2	-1.0
12	ANDERSON Riley	D V V D D	V D	1.8	2	+0.2
13	OBERDIEK Lucas	D D V V D	V D	1.7	2	+0.3
14	RAHMAN Mosfiqur	D V D D V	V D	1.5	2	+0.5
15	LEE Logan	V V D D D	V D	3.6	2	-1.6
16	HOFFMAN Scott	D D D D V	V D	1.8	1	-0.8
17	ALEXIS Jassen	V V V V D	D	3.5	4	+0.5
18	HOUSE Edward	V D V D V	D	2.8	3	+0.2
19	LEE Joel	V V D D D	D	1.8	2	+0.2
20	PINSKY Felix	D D D V V	D	0.6	2	+1.4
21	SPECTER Luka	D D V V D	D	1.1	2	+0.9
22	OSTRIKOV Emilia	V V D D D	D	3.1	2	-1.1
23	YOUNG Kathryn	D D D V V	D	1.8	2	+0.2
24	KATCHUR Annika	D V D D V	D	1.6	2	+0.4
25	BARTH Eva	D D D V D	D	1.7	1	-0.7
26	NUTH David	D D D D D	D	2.8	0	-2.8
26	PEACOCK Bryant	D D D D D	D	2.9	0	-2.9
28	STENSON Alyssa	D D D D D		1.0	0	-1.0
29	KUMAR Ridhi	D D D D D	D	3.0	0	-3.0
30	MERINOVA Veronica	D D D D D	D	1.2	0	-1.2

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!