Skyward Fencing March Competition

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 11:45 AM

Skyward Fencing - South Barrington, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CONKLIN Jim - - - 1% 11% 48% 40%
2 HERRERA Xavier - 1% 11% 45% 35% 7%
3 PAPP Mike - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
3 ERASTUS-OBILO Milan - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14%
5 ROBINSON Matthew - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
6 KANE Alexa - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
7 ALI Adam 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
8 CAMPBELL Finn 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 1%
9 GRANSTROM Colin - - 4% 25% 51% 18% 2%
10 VIDOR Caio - 9% 34% 39% 16% 2%
11 SLEZAK Christian 1% 10% 42% 38% 9% 1%
12 SWANSON Dave - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
13 FUJIMURA Hiro 2% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1% -
14 SNIDER Margot (Maggie) - 7% 28% 40% 22% 3%
15 KRAUSE Maxwell 7% 42% 42% 8% - -
16 TRAN Trang 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 3%
17 LU Anthony - 1% 10% 29% 39% 20% 1%
18 ROBINSON Richard 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3% -
19 BELLA LOBRACO luciana 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
20 ABERA Ruth 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
21 MAGIERA Isabell 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% -
22 HENSEL Kaeleb 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
23 MESHENBERG Zoe 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
24 CHEEVER Katie 72% 25% 2% - - -
25 HAMON Sunday 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.