Skyward Fencing March Competition

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 11:45 AM

Skyward Fencing - South Barrington, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 40%
2 HERRERA Xavier 100% 100% 99% 88% 42% 7%
3 PAPP Mike 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
3 ERASTUS-OBILO Milan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
5 ROBINSON Matthew 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
6 KANE Alexa 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
7 ALI Adam 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
8 CAMPBELL Finn 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 1%
9 GRANSTROM Colin 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 19% 2%
10 VIDOR Caio 100% 100% 91% 57% 18% 2%
11 SLEZAK Christian 100% 99% 90% 48% 10% 1%
12 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
13 FUJIMURA Hiro 100% 98% 80% 41% 9% 1% -
14 SNIDER Margot (Maggie) 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 3%
15 KRAUSE Maxwell 100% 93% 51% 9% - -
16 TRAN Trang 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
17 LU Anthony 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 1%
18 ROBINSON Richard 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3% -
19 BELLA LOBRACO luciana 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
20 ABERA Ruth 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
21 MAGIERA Isabell 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
22 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
23 MESHENBERG Zoe 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
24 CHEEVER Katie 100% 28% 2% - - -
25 HAMON Sunday 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.