Division II at Fencers Club

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Fencers Club Inc. - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Xicheng 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
2 MINOR Payson 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
3 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
3 WEHMEYER Devin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
5 KIM Claire 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
6 SARAVANA Supriti 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
7 DUNCAN Kate 100% 90% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
8 KEEGAN Cole 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
9 FAGAN Margaret 100% 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
10 WILLIAMS John 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
11 RAFFAELE Nancy 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
12 PENG Odin 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
13 TAPLIN Aaron 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
14 HUPART Emerson 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
15 SCHIAVONE Oreste 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
16 ROSENFELD Madelon 100% 98% 75% 31% 5% -
17 BOTWINICK Nelson 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
18 COSSENTINO Natalia 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
19 PATEL Krish 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
20 LAU Olivia 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.