Portland ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIN Isabel 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
2 HEPLER Sarah 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
3 WANG Chantal 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
3 KROTZ Gemma 100% 100% 97% 75% 34% 6%
5 XU Celina 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
6 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
7 NEISINGH Elena 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
8 KIM Vivian 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
9 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 100% 81% 37% 8% 1%
10 GLOVER Cynthia E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
11 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
12 MEEHAN Kaela 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
13 MADRID Maureen 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
14 NEISINGH Isabelle 100% 99% 92% 60% 17%
15 KUTSY Olga 100% 90% 47% 12% 1%
16 CHIEM Karen 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
17 HABERKERN Kundry E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
18 TOLLEY Toby 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
18 MIXON Ivory 100% 72% 29% 6% - -
20 BENCH Melody 100% 44% 8% 1% -
21 CHU Chloe 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
22 RALSTON Katherine 100% 99% 66% 22% 3% -
23 FERNAINE Penelope 100% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.