Fencing Center of Chicago ROC / RJC

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Canlan Sports - Libertyville - Libertyville, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
2 TAM Kyle 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
3 HONG Derek 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 EDWARDS Connor 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 18%
5 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
6 WILEY Conor 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
7 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
8 CHOI Simon 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
9 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
10 SYMMANK Callen 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
11 FLYNN Oliver 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
12 WEINSTEIN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
13 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
14 BOYER Kai 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
15 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
16 HASTINGS Alex 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
17 TAGORE Reyansh 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
18 HERRERA Xavier 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5%
19 YU Leo 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
20 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
21 CRONK Trevor 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
22 BALES Gabriel 100% 92% 57% 20% 3% -
23 STORER Alexander 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2%
24 MCGRATH Alex 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
25 TIAN Nicolas 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
26 CLIPPARD Erik J. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
27 GLUCK Trenton 100% 73% 32% 9% 1% - -
28 FEEHAN Conor 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
29 DURHAM Porter 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
30 LAMAR Louis 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
31 SCHEURER Edwin 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
32 ZHANG Hanson 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
33 DAVIS Jace W. 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
34 PANKOTAI Alexander 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.