South Burlington Epee Extravaganza

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM

South Burlington High School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PEARSALL William 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
2 RUBIN Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
3 KROHN Daphne 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
3 BARNES Kieron 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
5 COLLIER Samara 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
6 PREW David 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
7 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
8 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
9 CASI Eloise 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
10 ZWEERES Kye 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
11 SAVETT Izaak 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
11 HUSTEAD Jacob 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
13 ZIMMERMAN Robert 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
14 MCDARBY Kieron M. 100% 98% 78% 35% 7% -
15 YOUNG Donovan 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
15 SALMON Jahleal 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
17 TENNAKOON Jess 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
18 MARCOUX Amy 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
19 WAGER Charles 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
20 GROVEN Adam 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.