Maximum SABER Challenge UNSANCTIONED

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Maximum Fencing Club - Los Altos, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Rongxuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
2 DESHPANDE Saisha 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 11%
3 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 98% 85% 58% 27% 7% 1%
3 XIE Jingyan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
5 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
6 SEVERT David 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
7 KIM Connor 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
8 GO Noa 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
9 WU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
10 CHAN Ella 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
11 SHKALIKOVA Anastasiia 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
12 QIU Sui Pan 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
13 WHITE Marcus 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 2%
14 MARSHALL Dylan 100% 93% 64% 22% 2% -
15 FANG Kaitlyn 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
16 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
17 CHU Lauren 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% - -
18 ROBBINS Lydia 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
19 CLAES Emma 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
20 CALLAHAN Macsen 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
20 KANG Paul 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
22 YAO Mannie 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 2%
23 GOSAVI Amiya 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% - -
24 HAGENBUCH Isabella 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% -
25 SAHIN Miles 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
26 CAO Kaylin 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
27 GANGARAMANI Shiv 100% 94% 68% 30% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.