Maximum SABER Challenge UNSANCTIONED

Y-10 Mixed Saber

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Maximum Fencing Club - Los Altos, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Chelsea - 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
2 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
3 YUNG Nathan - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
3 EKANAYAKE Bodhi 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
5 SEVERT David - 5% 23% 40% 27% 4%
6 CAO Kaylin - 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
7 GIMELFARB Ethan 19% 46% 28% 7% 1% - -
8 VAN ROY Petra 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 2%
9 SHIH Brandon - 5% 21% 42% 31% 1%
10 MACCARRA Thomas 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
11 LIN Rongcheng Noah - 8% 32% 40% 18% 2%
12 FANG Kaitlyn 1% 12% 35% 37% 14% 2%
13 CHEN Brian 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 1%
14 KRASNOV Julia 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
15 GOSAVI Amiya 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% -
16 KIM Jude - < 1% 4% 23% 49% 24%
17 SHIVKUMAR Meera - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
18 CHAE Ahwon 26% 63% 10% 1% - -
19 NANGOY Peter < 1% 3% 33% 44% 17% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.