Maximum SABER Challenge UNSANCTIONED

Y-10 Mixed Saber

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Maximum Fencing Club - Los Altos, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Chelsea 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
2 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 YUNG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 EKANAYAKE Bodhi 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% -
5 SEVERT David 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 4%
6 CAO Kaylin 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% -
7 GIMELFARB Ethan 100% 81% 35% 8% 1% - -
8 VAN ROY Petra 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2%
9 SHIH Brandon 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 1%
10 MACCARRA Thomas 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
11 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 100% 91% 60% 20% 2%
12 FANG Kaitlyn 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 2%
13 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 1%
14 KRASNOV Julia 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
15 GOSAVI Amiya 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
16 KIM Jude 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 24%
17 SHIVKUMAR Meera 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
18 CHAE Ahwon 100% 74% 11% 1% - -
19 NANGOY Peter 100% 100% 96% 63% 19% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.