AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #4

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SAMOYLOV Daniel - - 1% 11% 44% 45%
2 LIN Logan - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
3 BOROVIKOV Alexander - - 3% 20% 51% 26%
3 BENNETTE Graham - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
5 LEUNG Joon - 1% 7% 28% 42% 22%
6 SZETO Jonathan - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
7 LI Nathan - 7% 32% 44% 15% 1%
8 SALIM Ethan 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
9 DING Derek 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
10 BARKER Vincent 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
11 GACIOCH Calvin 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
12 YE Andrew 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
13 CHO Lincoln 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
14 JAMSHIDI Hugo 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
15 KAPLAN David 21% 48% 26% 4% - -
16 LI Ethan JW 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
17 KATZEL Charles - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9%
18 BRANDWAJN Philippe 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4%
19 BOROWICZ Lukasz 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
20 LUCAS Aiden 2% 19% 44% 28% 5% -
21 JHA Agastya 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
22 LIM Sejun 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
23 DARMSTADT-JORY Torben 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
24 NHO Lucas 45% 43% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.