AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #4

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
2 LIN Logan 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
3 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 26%
3 BENNETTE Graham 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
5 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
6 SZETO Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
7 LI Nathan 100% 100% 92% 60% 16% 1%
8 SALIM Ethan 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
9 DING Derek 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
10 BARKER Vincent 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
11 GACIOCH Calvin 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
12 YE Andrew 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
13 CHO Lincoln 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
14 JAMSHIDI Hugo 100% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
15 KAPLAN David 100% 79% 31% 5% - -
16 LI Ethan JW 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
17 KATZEL Charles 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
18 BRANDWAJN Philippe 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
19 BOROWICZ Lukasz 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
20 LUCAS Aiden 100% 98% 78% 34% 6% -
21 JHA Agastya 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
22 LIM Sejun 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
23 DARMSTADT-JORY Torben 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
24 NHO Lucas 100% 55% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.