MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
2 ZHAI Muyan 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 9%
3 LEE Jasper 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
3 CHEN Celina 100% 94% 66% 24% 3% -
5 ZENG Cayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
6 BROME Zachary 100% 94% 67% 28% 5%
7 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
8 LIN Cyrus 100% 82% 41% 10% 1%
9 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 95% 70% 29% 4%
10 GEMBALA Theodore 100% 95% 69% 27% 4%
11 STOCK Nina 100% 68% 24% 3% -
12 STOCK Ian 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
13 JAIN Shubhit 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
14 WONG Kingston 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
15 KAUDER Rourke 100% 82% 43% 11% 1% -
16 MABRY Vivienne 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
17 RAI Ariv 100% 97% 77% 37% 6%
18 ROSIN Milena 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
19 KAYAL Alexander 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
20 LEE Jayden 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
21 ROSELIN Milo 100% 83% 43% 12% 1%
22 AKAMINE Eli 100% 100% 91% 57% 17% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.