Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-10 Women's Foil

Friday, April 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAHAPATRA Alisha - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
2 CHUNG Charlotte - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
3 SHU Kayla - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
3 ZHAI Muyan - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
5 KIM Rylie - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 20%
6 TUNG Alison - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
7 GOWDA Adisha - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
8 KO Alyssa - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
9 GAO Nicole - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
10 TAGNE Zoey - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
11 PICACHE Camilla 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% - -
12 GU Alexandra - 3% 19% 39% 31% 9%
13 ISAAC Felicity - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
14 CHANG Audrey 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
15 MARENITCH Kara - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
16 SHEN Rebecca - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
17 MURPHY Ava 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
18 LI Claire - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
19 SCHOR Katherine 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
20 CHENG Jessica 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
21 SONI Olivia 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
22 GUPTA Nyra - 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7%
23 SUN Zoey 3% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
24 LEE Madison - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
25 CHEN Yingying - 3% 20% 39% 30% 8%
26 DONG Ena 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
27 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
28 KNOX aysa - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
29 KIM Olivia 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
30 DU Zoey 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
31 SINGH Aditi 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
32 SUN Leia - 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
33 YANG Lucy 26% 51% 20% 3% - -
34 MAHAJAN Mira 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
35 TAM Alisa 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
36 GUAN Angie < 1% 1% 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
37 GOODFELLOW Amelia 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
38 GUO Antong 47% 43% 9% 1% - -
39 NG Genevieve 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
40 HOU Alice 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
41 KARTHIK Anuhya 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.