Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Women's Épée

Friday, April 3, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
2 RASHID Summer 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 25%
3 ZHAO Ellie 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
3 LEONG Andrea 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33% 6%
5 BI Zoey Missing ID
6 CHO Jacey 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
7 LEE Adelynn 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 14%
8 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
9 LI Allison 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
10 BURKS Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
11 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
12 BUDMAN Ava 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
13 DENEALE Lucia 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
14 BOWDEN Lily 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
15 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 7%
16 ZHAO Emma 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 7%
17 YANG Emma 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
18 KIM Vivian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
19 REN Ivanka 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
20 LEE Lizzie Missing ID
21 LEE Rebecca 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
22 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
23 REDDY Annika 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
24 ZHU Anna 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
25 SANTIAGO Mara 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
26 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
27 HUANG Sophie 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 3% -
28 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
29 RAPTIS Layla 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% -
30 STERNAD Pia 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
31 LI Elaine 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
32 SINGLETARY Iona 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
33 LI Zoey 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
34 BACK Ella 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
35 VISHWA Nishta 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
36 MARTYNOVA Veronica 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
37 WARBURTON Eleanor 100% 95% 67% 25% 4% - -
38 TRUONG Chloe 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% -
39 FITCH Anna 100% 93% 60% 20% 2% - -
40 KAYMAN June 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
41 PARK Rachel 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
42 MUKKU Emily 100% 99% 87% 50% 12% 1% -
43 SMIRNOVA Evangelina 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
44 LUO Xinyue 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
45 TAN Elliana 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
46 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
47 GRAZIANO Josephine 100% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1%
48 FIEDOR Savannah 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
49 CHANG Mikayla 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.