Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, April 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Rongxuan - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
2 DHILLON Aekam - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
3 WANG Makayla - 1% 6% 26% 45% 23%
3 LEE Jadyn - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
5 GUERVILLE Angelique - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
6 DESHPANDE Saisha - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
7 LUC Madisyn - 5% 22% 39% 27% 7% -
8 ROBBINS Lydia 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 3%
9 CUI Andrea - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
10 XIE Emily Missing ID
11 WONG Chelsea 1% 8% 25% 37% 25% 5%
12 GO Noa 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
13 ZHOU Charlotte - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
14 ZHAO Audrey 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 1%
15 PAN Maddie Missing ID
16 FANG Kaitlyn 7% 35% 39% 16% 2% -
17 VAN ROY Petra 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
18 CHAN Ella 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
19 KENNEDY Elizabeth 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
20 XU Chenxi 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
21 GOSAVI Amiya 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
22 CHU Lauren 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
23 LIU Catherine - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
24 CLAES Emma 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
25 CAO Kaylin 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
26 BALOIAN Zora 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
27 VADOR Jaswant 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
28 REICH Emily 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.