Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, April 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Rongxuan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
2 DHILLON Aekam 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
3 WANG Makayla 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 23%
3 LEE Jadyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
5 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
6 DESHPANDE Saisha 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
7 LUC Madisyn 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
8 ROBBINS Lydia 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3%
9 CUI Andrea 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
10 XIE Emily Missing ID
11 WONG Chelsea 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
12 GO Noa 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
13 ZHOU Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 8%
14 ZHAO Audrey 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
15 PAN Maddie Missing ID
16 FANG Kaitlyn 100% 93% 58% 18% 3% -
17 VAN ROY Petra 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
18 CHAN Ella 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
19 KENNEDY Elizabeth 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
20 XU Chenxi 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
21 GOSAVI Amiya 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
22 CHU Lauren 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
23 LIU Catherine 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
24 CLAES Emma 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
25 CAO Kaylin 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
26 BALOIAN Zora 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
27 VADOR Jaswant 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
28 REICH Emily 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.