Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 8:15 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
2 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
3 HUANG Holmes Missing ID
3 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
5 ZOU Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
6 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
7 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30%
8 XU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
9 CHUN Zachary 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
10 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
11 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 5%
12 YANG David H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 2%
13 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
14 GATES Combustion 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
15 LI Jayden 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
15 LEE Thomas G. 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
17 OH Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 11%
18 ZHENG Austin 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
19 GLICKSBERG Alexander 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6% -
20 TANG Royce 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
21 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 3%
22 MINOR Payson 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
22 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 3%
24 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
25 DESMOND Sterling 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 7%
26 WANG Luke 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% 1%
27 KUPERBERG Thomas 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 10% 1%
28 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
29 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% 1%
30 ROPER Griffin 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
31 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
32 TIAN Dylan 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
33 SAMUEL Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
34 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 6% -
35 LEE Aeden 100% 90% 55% 20% 4% - -
36 ROTH Adam 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
37 QIAN Zekai 100% 99% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
38 JIN Andy 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 5%
39 QUAN Noah 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% - -
40 CHENUTULA Abhinav 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
41 KERSHA Alexander 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% - -
42 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 15% 2%
43 CHAU Ivan 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% - -
44 CORDERO Javier 100% 72% 29% 7% 1% - -
45 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
45 KOO Jaeha 100% 26% 3% - - - -
45 CHO Alexander 100% 98% 83% 42% 10% 1%
48 CHEN Kevin 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
49 HIMELFARB Charlie 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
50 GUGALA Frank 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
51 ZHAO David 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
52 DAVIDSON Henry 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
53 CARSELI Nicholas 100% 78% 32% 6% - -
54 ST PIERRE Christian 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
55 TIMCHENKO Fiodor 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
55 FITCH Adam 100% 99% 51% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.