Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 8:15 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MIAO Heqi - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
2 LI Lucas 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
3 SONG Aidan - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
3 WONG Reagan - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
5 ZALETAEV Jacob - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
6 CONG Mason - 3% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2%
7 TAYCHER Aaron - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
8 CHAVAN Aditya 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7%
9 TASIKAS Pete - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
10 KAMURA Kosei - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
11 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 2% 13% 33% 36% 16% 2%
12 STOLCKE Julian - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
13 SAGE Nikolai - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
14 ZHANG Howard - 3% 17% 38% 34% 9%
15 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
16 DMYTRUK Alexander 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
17 WANG Edward - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
18 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
19 CHEN Felix - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
20 CHEN Leo - 1% 9% 31% 44% 16%
21 CHEN Luca - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
22 BRADIC Andreja 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
22 LEISTNER Armin 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
24 TANJGA Luka 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
25 LI Kent 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
26 CARR Silas 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% -
27 RABEL Sebastian 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
28 KONG Ethan 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
29 MOTOV Max 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
30 PARK Jayden 3% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
31 WANG Harrison 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
32 GAO Francis 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
33 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
34 SIMEONIDIS Aris 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
35 BLAIR Campbell - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
36 ZHANG Leaf - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
37 ANDRADE Ian 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
38 GAW Zachary 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
39 LEIGH Brayden 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
40 VINCENT Yijia 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
41 CORDERO Adam 7% 26% 35% 24% 8% 1%
42 BALBALE Zayd 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
43 AWAD Omar 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
44 COONEY Alexander 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
45 DARLING Andrew 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
46 KHAN AR Missing ID
47 TERENTIEV Michael - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
48 GAW Christian 33% 46% 18% 3% - - -
48 FAUSTO Aidan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
50 MAKLIN David 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
51 DAVIDSON Graham 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
52 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
53 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
54 OH Caleb 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
55 JEONG Zion 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
56 RABEL Alexander 3% 18% 37% 32% 10% 1%
57 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
58 ZHANG Mark 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
59 EASLEY Braddock 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
60 LI Felix 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
61 BARAVARIAN Cole 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
62 HONG Isaac 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
62 PALERMO Evan 26% 46% 23% 5% 1% - -
64 VITALE NIKO 21% 42% 28% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.