Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 8:15 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 LI Lucas 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
3 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 WONG Reagan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
5 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
6 CONG Mason 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
7 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
8 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
9 TASIKAS Pete 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
10 KAMURA Kosei 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
11 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
12 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
13 SAGE Nikolai 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
14 ZHANG Howard 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
15 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
16 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
17 WANG Edward 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
18 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
19 CHEN Felix 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
20 CHEN Leo 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
21 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
22 BRADIC Andreja 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
22 LEISTNER Armin 100% 95% 73% 38% 10% 1%
24 TANJGA Luka 100% 96% 75% 37% 8% 1%
25 LI Kent 100% 93% 65% 25% 5% -
26 CARR Silas 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% -
27 RABEL Sebastian 100% 87% 51% 17% 2% -
28 KONG Ethan 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
29 MOTOV Max 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
30 PARK Jayden 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
31 WANG Harrison 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
32 GAO Francis 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
33 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
34 SIMEONIDIS Aris 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
35 BLAIR Campbell 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
36 ZHANG Leaf 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
37 ANDRADE Ian 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
38 GAW Zachary 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
39 LEIGH Brayden 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
40 VINCENT Yijia 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
41 CORDERO Adam 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1%
42 BALBALE Zayd 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
43 AWAD Omar 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
44 COONEY Alexander 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
45 DARLING Andrew 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
46 KHAN AR Missing ID
47 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
48 GAW Christian 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
48 FAUSTO Aidan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
50 MAKLIN David 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
51 DAVIDSON Graham 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
52 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
53 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
54 OH Caleb 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
55 JEONG Zion 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
56 RABEL Alexander 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
57 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
58 ZHANG Mark 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
59 EASLEY Braddock 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
60 LI Felix 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
61 BARAVARIAN Cole 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
62 HONG Isaac 100% 77% 38% 10% 2% - -
62 PALERMO Evan 100% 74% 28% 5% 1% - -
64 VITALE NIKO 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.