Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Elaine - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
2 MEYERSON Michelle - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
3 BUSH Bethany - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
3 FUNG Iris - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
5 NIU Jessica - - 4% 15% 34% 34% 13%
6 CAI Xinyi - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 16%
7 MOON Claire - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
8 LIU Chelsea - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
9 KANG Soeun - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 3%
10 DUTA Lyra - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
11 ZHANG Ashley - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
12 MACKAY Katherine - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
13 NANDA Maanika 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
14 ZHAO Selena - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
15 KO Ariel - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
16 SMITH Genevieve 2% 14% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
17 GONG Joy - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
18 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
19 ZHANG Wuxin - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
20 UZAR Julianna 2% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
21 LAFFY Lily - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
22 NG Sophia - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
23 YANG Selina 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
24 KU Chloe - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
25 WANG JiaQi - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
26 PARK Chloe - 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
27 KIM isabel 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
28 HU Alicia - 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
29 SUN Yi - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
30 ONO Lisa 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
31 WANG MONA - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
32 ZHANG Zoe Muchen 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1% -
33 WONG Charlene - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
34 MADDISON Estelle 54% 36% 9% 1% < 1% - -
35 MISHRA Riona 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
36 PARK Gabriella 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
37 HILD Anya 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
38 POWERS Waverly 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
39 BERRIOS Catalina 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
40 MOTOVA Masha 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
41 LIU Stephanie 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
42 DESAUTELS Alexandra 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
43 OH Chloe 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
44 TASSONE Charlie 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
45 YOUNG Sienna 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
45 LIU Alyssa 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
47 HU Sophia 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
48 HUANG Zoe 7% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
49 MULHERN Eleanor 11% 37% 35% 14% 2% - -
50 PARKER Mrinali 59% 34% 6% 1% - - -
51 YIN Xizi 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
52 KIM Jodie 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
53 LIU Teresa 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
54 BROGAN Samantha 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.