Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
2 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
3 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
5 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
6 CAI Xinyi 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16%
7 MOON Claire 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
8 LIU Chelsea 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 4%
9 KANG Soeun 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
10 DUTA Lyra 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
11 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
12 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
13 NANDA Maanika 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
14 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
15 KO Ariel 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
16 SMITH Genevieve 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
17 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
18 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
19 ZHANG Wuxin 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1%
20 UZAR Julianna 100% 98% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
21 LAFFY Lily 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
22 NG Sophia 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
23 YANG Selina 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
24 KU Chloe 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
25 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
26 PARK Chloe 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
27 KIM isabel 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
28 HU Alicia 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
29 SUN Yi 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
30 ONO Lisa 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
31 WANG MONA 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
32 ZHANG Zoe Muchen 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1% -
33 WONG Charlene 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
34 MADDISON Estelle 100% 46% 10% 1% < 1% - -
35 MISHRA Riona 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
36 PARK Gabriella 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
37 HILD Anya 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
38 POWERS Waverly 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
39 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
40 MOTOVA Masha 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
41 LIU Stephanie 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
42 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
43 OH Chloe 100% 92% 61% 24% 4% -
44 TASSONE Charlie 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% -
45 YOUNG Sienna 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
45 LIU Alyssa 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
47 HU Sophia 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
48 HUANG Zoe 100% 93% 59% 21% 4% - -
49 MULHERN Eleanor 100% 89% 52% 16% 3% - -
50 PARKER Mrinali 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
51 YIN Xizi 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
52 KIM Jodie 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
53 LIU Teresa 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
54 BROGAN Samantha 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.