Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 LEE Augustine 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
5 VINCENT Yian 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 5%
6 JIANG Elvin 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
7 WONG Jacob 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
8 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
9 BORROK Andrew 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 1%
10 GARCIA Francisco 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
11 TARDIFF Finn 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 8% -
12 LAM Esher Lam Missing ID
13 HUANG Max 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
14 CIECIEREGA Michael 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% -
15 PAYTASH Kyle 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
16 SNEED Oliver 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
17 MALM Gabriel 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
18 GAO Frederick 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
19 SHI Henry 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
20 XIAO Lucas 100% 68% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.