SAS Pirate Cup #4

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GAFFNEY Mylos - - - - - 6% 94%
2 GOLDIN Nina - - - - 7% 93%
3 RICH Augustus (Gus) G. - - 10% 46% 44%
3 YANG Caroline - 1% 17% 65% 17%
5 HOLMES Xavier - - 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
6 LOPER Alex - - 1% 13% 46% 40%
6 NEARMAN Christopher - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
8 MA Yanjie - 1% 11% 38% 40% 10%
9 WANG Tina - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
10 RIGGINS Littleton K. - - - 8% 38% 54%
11 SAKPAL Raghavi - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
12 CHIU Philippa - 3% 20% 44% 31% 1%
13 ENGLE Aidric - - 2% 16% 51% 32%
14 JOHNSON Jack 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
15 DEVASIA Nisha 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
16 WONG Lucia 2% 14% 35% 36% 13% -
17 ARMSTRONG Doug - 2% 15% 35% 35% 13% -
18 DAVISSON Zack 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
19 BECK Mica - 1% 18% 38% 31% 11% 1%
20 VALENTINE Rhys - - 5% 22% 43% 29% 1%
21 CARLUCCI Laura A. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
22 THIBODEAU Alex 21% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
23 NAMMI Simhadri 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
24 ALLEN Oliver 1% 15% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
25 HODZIC Hana 23% 58% 18% 1% -
26 XIA Daniel - 8% 34% 44% 13% 1%
27 STATEN Joseph - 2% 15% 43% 34% 6%
28 MEDINA Andres 1% 14% 46% 33% 6% -
29 HARFORD Benjamin - 4% 23% 42% 26% 5% -
30 WONG Alice 3% 19% 40% 30% 7% -
31 TALVITIE TUOMAS - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 4%
32 BEELER Parker 6% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
33 HOFFMAN David - 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
34 TING Alexander 10% 42% 38% 9% 1% -
35 KING Robin E. - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
35 MUSSER Westin 24% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
37 VALENTINE Iain - 5% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
38 HUGHES Holden - 11% 48% 36% 5%
39 HE Manni 12% 34% 36% 15% 3% -
40 GUEA Mark 56% 36% 7% 1% - -
41 WHELAN Quinn 14% 58% 24% 3% - -
42 LEWIS Nate 7% 48% 35% 9% 1% - -
42 LOWREY Zola 4% 32% 40% 19% 4% - -
44 RILLON Adrian 9% 36% 39% 15% 2% -
45 CHHIBBER Kanika - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
46 WALCH Ryan 66% 33% 2% - -
47 BATTEN Althea 20% 56% 22% 2% - -
48 YANG Diana Missing ID
48 KASHYAP Arunima 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
50 BARTON Seth 65% 30% 5% - - - -
51 ANANY Salma 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.