SAS Pirate Cup #4

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GAFFNEY Mylos 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
2 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
3 RICH Augustus (Gus) G. 100% 100% 100% 90% 44%
3 YANG Caroline 100% 100% 99% 82% 17%
5 HOLMES Xavier 100% 100% 100% 90% 58% 19% 2%
6 LOPER Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 40%
6 NEARMAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
8 MA Yanjie 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 10%
9 WANG Tina 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
10 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 54%
11 SAKPAL Raghavi 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 2%
12 CHIU Philippa 100% 100% 97% 77% 32% 1%
13 ENGLE Aidric 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 32%
14 JOHNSON Jack 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% - -
15 DEVASIA Nisha 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
16 WONG Lucia 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% -
17 ARMSTRONG Doug 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% -
18 DAVISSON Zack 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
19 BECK Mica 100% 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 1%
20 VALENTINE Rhys 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 1%
21 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
22 THIBODEAU Alex 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
23 NAMMI Simhadri 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
24 ALLEN Oliver 100% 99% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
25 HODZIC Hana 100% 77% 19% 1% -
26 XIA Daniel 100% 100% 92% 58% 14% 1%
27 STATEN Joseph 100% 100% 98% 83% 40% 6%
28 MEDINA Andres 100% 99% 85% 39% 6% -
29 HARFORD Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 5% -
30 WONG Alice 100% 97% 78% 37% 7% -
31 TALVITIE TUOMAS 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
32 BEELER Parker 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
33 HOFFMAN David 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 18% 2%
34 TING Alexander 100% 90% 48% 10% 1% -
35 KING Robin E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
35 MUSSER Westin 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
37 VALENTINE Iain 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
38 HUGHES Holden 100% 100% 89% 41% 5%
39 HE Manni 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
40 GUEA Mark 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
41 WHELAN Quinn 100% 86% 28% 4% - -
42 LEWIS Nate 100% 93% 45% 10% 1% - -
42 LOWREY Zola 100% 96% 64% 24% 4% - -
44 RILLON Adrian 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% -
45 CHHIBBER Kanika 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
46 WALCH Ryan 100% 34% 2% - -
47 BATTEN Althea 100% 80% 25% 2% - -
48 YANG Diana Missing ID
48 KASHYAP Arunima 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
50 BARTON Seth 100% 35% 5% - - - -
51 ANANY Salma 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.