Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Ariana - - - 3% 27% 70%
2 HOM Avery - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
3 CHAN Mila - - - - 6% 38% 56%
3 CHO Karis - 1% 11% 37% 43% 7%
5 YANG Hanli - - - - 6% 36% 58%
6 CHAN Ella - - 1% 9% 45% 45%
7 MIYOSHI Kylie - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
8 HSU Rachel - - 6% 26% 46% 22%
9 MA Isabelle - - - 1% 6% 32% 62%
10 HOM Emma 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
10 JIN Jada Y - - 2% 18% 49% 31%
12 LAM Dorris Yandor - 4% 22% 43% 26% 4% -
13 LEE Zoe E. - - 2% 15% 47% 36%
14 SHEN Gloria - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
15 TEWARI Amaira - - 2% 17% 40% 32% 8%
16 JOESUF Thea - 14% 39% 36% 10% 1%
17 PAN Samantha 1% 9% 31% 40% 17% 2%
18 KIM Ines - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
19 LIN Avery - - 2% 18% 40% 32% 8%
20 NICOLETTI Thea - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
21 CHANG Olivia - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
22 CHUNG Charlotte 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
23 VALOUEVA Katerina - 4% 20% 41% 28% 6% -
24 LI Sophia - 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
25 FANG Kelervia - - 2% 16% 52% 31%
26 SMIRNOV Victoria 3% 19% 37% 30% 11% 1%
26 THOTA Akira - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
28 CHENG Audrey - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
29 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 3% 21% 41% 29% 6% -
30 IRELAND Moira - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
31 CHOI Jian 1% 22% 43% 28% 6% -
32 LAI Olivia 3% 23% 47% 22% 4% - -
33 ZHAN Catherine 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
34 DVOIRIS Maya - - 1% 6% 29% 49% 16%
35 KIM Audrey 2% 22% 47% 25% 4% -
36 HSU Emily - - - 4% 26% 51% 19%
37 LI Audrey 1% 21% 43% 29% 6% -
38 BHANGOO Paloma - 1% 9% 35% 38% 15% 2%
39 ZHANG Annabelle 3% 19% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
40 ZHANG Katie Q. - 2% 13% 36% 37% 11% 1%
40 KAIMAN Tabby 7% 30% 40% 19% 4% - -
42 YANG Byanca 8% 32% 41% 17% 2% - -
43 ZHU Claire 4% 24% 42% 25% 5% -
44 COLIC LANI 10% 47% 34% 8% 1% -
45 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 5% 26% 42% 24% 3% -
46 KHANAL Sarah 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
47 ALEKSANDROVA Mira 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
48 LEE Abigail - 1% 8% 32% 44% 15% 1%
48 FENG Sophia 20% 44% 28% 6% - - -
50 DONG Nancy 4% 29% 40% 21% 5% -
51 LAVERY Lucy - 5% 27% 46% 19% 2%
52 PAWAR Sanvi 11% 38% 37% 13% 1% -
53 LUO Olivia 49% 38% 11% 2% - -
54 WANG Ellen 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
55 GUO Jianing 35% 44% 19% 3% - -
56 TUNG Alison 9% 37% 38% 14% 2% -
57 YU Xintong 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
58 SOUSA Lauren 64% 30% 5% - - -
59 LIU Madeleine 37% 41% 18% 4% - -
60 YANG Claire 13% 39% 35% 11% 1% - -
61 HSU Courtney 89% 11% - - - -
62 DEJOY Leilah 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
63 CHAN Amelia 65% 30% 4% - - -
64 YEN Kayleigh 29% 45% 22% 3% - - -
65 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
66 ERDMAN-SINESIO Sophia 40% 46% 12% 1% - - -
67 WONG Iris - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
68 JUSON Julianne Missing ID
69 THERIOT Reagan 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
70 STOCK Nina 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
71 CHEN Celina 29% 50% 19% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.