Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Ariana 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
2 HOM Avery 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
3 CHAN Mila 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56%
3 CHO Karis 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 7%
5 YANG Hanli 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
6 CHAN Ella 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 45%
7 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
8 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 22%
9 MA Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
10 HOM Emma 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
10 JIN Jada Y 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 31%
12 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 100% 95% 74% 30% 5% -
13 LEE Zoe E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 36%
14 SHEN Gloria 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
15 TEWARI Amaira 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
16 JOESUF Thea 100% 100% 86% 46% 11% 1%
17 PAN Samantha 100% 99% 91% 59% 19% 2%
18 KIM Ines 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
19 LIN Avery 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
20 NICOLETTI Thea 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
21 CHANG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
22 CHUNG Charlotte 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
23 VALOUEVA Katerina 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6% -
24 LI Sophia 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
25 FANG Kelervia 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 31%
26 SMIRNOV Victoria 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
26 THOTA Akira 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
28 CHENG Audrey 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
29 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 97% 76% 35% 6% -
30 IRELAND Moira 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
31 CHOI Jian 100% 99% 77% 34% 6% -
32 LAI Olivia 100% 97% 74% 26% 4% - -
33 ZHAN Catherine 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
34 DVOIRIS Maya 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 16%
35 KIM Audrey 100% 98% 76% 29% 4% -
36 HSU Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 19%
37 LI Audrey 100% 99% 78% 35% 6% -
38 BHANGOO Paloma 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 17% 2%
39 ZHANG Annabelle 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
40 ZHANG Katie Q. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12% 1%
40 KAIMAN Tabby 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% - -
42 YANG Byanca 100% 92% 60% 19% 2% - -
43 ZHU Claire 100% 96% 72% 30% 6% -
44 COLIC LANI 100% 90% 43% 8% 1% -
45 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 95% 69% 28% 4% -
46 KHANAL Sarah 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
47 ALEKSANDROVA Mira 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
48 LEE Abigail 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16% 1%
48 FENG Sophia 100% 80% 35% 7% - - -
50 DONG Nancy 100% 96% 66% 26% 5% -
51 LAVERY Lucy 100% 100% 95% 68% 22% 2%
52 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 89% 51% 14% 1% -
53 LUO Olivia 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
54 WANG Ellen 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
55 GUO Jianing 100% 65% 22% 3% - -
56 TUNG Alison 100% 91% 54% 16% 2% -
57 YU Xintong 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
58 SOUSA Lauren 100% 36% 6% - - -
59 LIU Madeleine 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
60 YANG Claire 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% - -
61 HSU Courtney 100% 11% - - - -
62 DEJOY Leilah 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
63 CHAN Amelia 100% 35% 4% - - -
64 YEN Kayleigh 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
65 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
66 ERDMAN-SINESIO Sophia 100% 60% 13% 1% - - -
67 WONG Iris 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
68 JUSON Julianne Missing ID
69 THERIOT Reagan 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
70 STOCK Nina 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
71 CHEN Celina 100% 71% 21% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.