Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Zoey - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
2 YU Jiaming - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
3 DEFENSOR Ella - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
3 TRUONG Chloe - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
5 STEPHAN Antje Elisa - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
6 MUKKU Emily - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
7 XIE Zhiran (Celine) - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
8 MENDIRATTA Olivia - 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
9 LUO Xinyue - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
10 CHADHA Ditvi - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
11 SANTIAGO Mara 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
12 HUANG Sophie - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
13 SCHMIDT Alexis - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
14 YANG Emma - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
15 LI Elaine - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
16 LEE Lizzie Missing ID
17 TSE Emma 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
18 WAGENAAR Ava 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
19 WANG Elizabeth 10% 34% 36% 16% 4% - -
20 TSE Etty - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
21 HENDERSON Ella - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
22 LIU Aubrey 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
23 HWANG Faith 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
24 GAO Nicole - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
25 FIEDOR Savannah 8% 32% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
26 YE Charlotte 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
27 SU Hermione Su 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
28 KUNG Chang-Jie 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
29 ZHOU Emily 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
30 TRUONG Camilla 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
31 MULCHANDANI Trisha 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
31 TAN Elizabeth - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
33 YAO Astrid 22% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
34 PARK Christine 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
35 RANADE Ira 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.