Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Zoey 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
2 YU Jiaming 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
3 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 TRUONG Chloe 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
5 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
6 MUKKU Emily 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
7 XIE Zhiran (Celine) 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
8 MENDIRATTA Olivia 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
9 LUO Xinyue 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
10 CHADHA Ditvi 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
11 SANTIAGO Mara 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
12 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
13 SCHMIDT Alexis 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
14 YANG Emma 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 12%
15 LI Elaine 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
16 LEE Lizzie Missing ID
17 TSE Emma 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
18 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
19 WANG Elizabeth 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
20 TSE Etty 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
21 HENDERSON Ella 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
22 LIU Aubrey 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
23 HWANG Faith 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
24 GAO Nicole 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
25 FIEDOR Savannah 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
26 YE Charlotte 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
27 SU Hermione Su 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
28 KUNG Chang-Jie 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
29 ZHOU Emily 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
30 TRUONG Camilla 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
31 MULCHANDANI Trisha 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
31 TAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
33 YAO Astrid 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
34 PARK Christine 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
35 RANADE Ira 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.