Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BUSH Bethany - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
2 JEONG Katie - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
3 CHAVAN Arya - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
3 MOON Claire - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
5 PARK Chloe 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
6 MACKAY Katherine - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
7 KIM Audrey 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
8 GONG Joy - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
9 ZHAO Selena - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
10 KU Chloe - 2% 11% 27% 35% 20% 4%
11 GOODWIN Julia 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - < 1%
12 CROOKS Riley - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
13 FUNG Iris - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
14 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
15 KANG Soeun - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
16 WANG JiaQi - 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2%
17 NG Sophia - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
18 HU Alicia - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
19 SUN Yi - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
20 LOO Kaitlyn - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
20 PROBASCO Leila - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
20 KO Ariel - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
23 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
24 YANG Selina 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
25 MEYERSON Michelle - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
25 WANG MONA 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
27 XU Elaine - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
28 NEDOPAKA Kateryna - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
29 HUANG Zoe 8% 39% 36% 14% 3% - -
30 ZHANG Wuxin 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
31 NIU Jessica - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
32 HORVITZ Jacqueline 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
33 ZHANG Ashley 1% 9% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
34 TASSONE Charlie 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% - -
35 UZAR Julianna 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
36 LIU Chelsea - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
37 HO Sophia 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
38 MISHRA Riona 9% 30% 37% 19% 5% - -
39 LAFFY Lily 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
40 OH Chloe 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% - -
41 KHOST Maeve 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
42 NANDA Maanika 2% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
43 ARIF Haniya 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
44 CAI Xinyi - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 9%
45 KIM Jodie 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
46 CHURCH Madeline 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
46 BARROSO Isabela - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
46 HAM Elizabeth 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% 1% -
49 LIU Stephanie 11% 39% 34% 13% 2% - -
50 LIU Teresa 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
51 YIN Xizi 39% 40% 17% 4% - - -
52 WONG Charlene 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
53 KIM isabel 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
54 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
55 PARKER Mrinali 67% 29% 4% - - - -
56 EDUSA Leilani 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.