Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
2 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 MOON Claire 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
5 PARK Chloe 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
6 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
7 KIM Audrey 100% 98% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
8 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
9 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
10 KU Chloe 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
11 GOODWIN Julia 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - < 1%
12 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
13 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
14 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
15 KANG Soeun 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
16 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
17 NG Sophia 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
18 HU Alicia 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
19 SUN Yi 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
20 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
20 PROBASCO Leila 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
20 KO Ariel 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
23 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
24 YANG Selina 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
25 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 51% 14%
25 WANG MONA 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
27 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
28 NEDOPAKA Kateryna 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
29 HUANG Zoe 100% 92% 54% 18% 3% - -
30 ZHANG Wuxin 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
31 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
32 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
33 ZHANG Ashley 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
34 TASSONE Charlie 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
35 UZAR Julianna 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
36 LIU Chelsea 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
37 HO Sophia 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
38 MISHRA Riona 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
39 LAFFY Lily 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 10% 1%
40 OH Chloe 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
41 KHOST Maeve 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
42 NANDA Maanika 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
43 ARIF Haniya 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
44 CAI Xinyi 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 9%
45 KIM Jodie 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
46 CHURCH Madeline 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
46 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
46 HAM Elizabeth 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
49 LIU Stephanie 100% 89% 49% 15% 3% - -
50 LIU Teresa 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
51 YIN Xizi 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
52 WONG Charlene 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
53 KIM isabel 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
54 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
55 PARKER Mrinali 100% 33% 4% - - - -
56 EDUSA Leilani 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.