Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOSS Persephone - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
2 ZHAO Selena - - - - 4% 26% 70%
3 KARAVAS Lucy 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
3 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - - - 4% 27% 69%
5 NANDA Maanika - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 23%
6 YANG Selina - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
7 KU Chloe - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
8 LIU Chelsea - - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
9 ZHANG Wuxin - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
10 WILLER Anna - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 2%
11 HU Alicia - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
12 HILD Anya - - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
13 AN Jamie 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
14 KO Ariel - - - 4% 21% 46% 29%
15 FAZAL Sasha - 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
16 MULHERN Eleanor 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
17 MEINING CHLOE - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
18 WANG MONA - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
19 WANG JiaQi - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
19 KABILING Anika Von Marie - 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7%
21 KIM Jodie 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
22 SMITH Genevieve - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
23 PARK Gabriella - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
24 ZHANG Zoe Muchen - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
25 JUILLERAT Tabea 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3% -
26 PORTNOY Elizabeth 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
27 MOSHAROVA Natalia 12% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
28 MOTOVA Masha - 3% 13% 30% 35% 17% 2%
29 LEE Elise - 2% 12% 29% 36% 19% 2%
30 LIU Teresa 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
31 HAGLER Alice 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
32 MADDISON Estelle 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
33 YOUNG Sienna - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
34 OH Chloe - 2% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
35 LIU Alyssa - 2% 14% 38% 37% 9%
36 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
37 MADDISON Erica 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
38 KWAN Kelly 6% 31% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
39 LIU Stephanie - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
40 KONDE Anika 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
41 SHTEYMAN Simone 9% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
42 FREY Elise 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
43 ONG Katherine 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
44 MARGULIS Roxana - 4% 21% 42% 28% 5%
45 MISHRA Riona - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 1%
46 HU Sophia 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
47 YIN Xizi - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
48 POWERS Waverly - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
49 PURITZ Morgan 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
50 MAGITSKY Giadora 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
51 WEI Avril 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
52 AN Jasmine 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
53 HONG Eden 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
54 BROGAN Samantha 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
55 RIFKIN Talia 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
56 SHELDON Adriana 25% 44% 25% 5% - -
57 CHANG Grace 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
58 WU Abigail 6% 27% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
59 FENG chloe 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
60 KIM Chloe 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
61 KRITZ Sofia 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
62 EL-NAZER Salwa 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
63 CHANG Daisy Yijin 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
64 POTDAR Harper 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
65 ALPEROVICH Madeline 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
66 KHAN Ayesha 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
67 GROSSMAN Ann 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
68 VALENCIA Sophie 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
69 BORROK Katherine 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.