Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
2 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
3 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
5 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
6 YANG Selina 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
7 KU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
8 LIU Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
9 ZHANG Wuxin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
10 WILLER Anna 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
11 HU Alicia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
12 HILD Anya 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 35% 7%
13 AN Jamie 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
14 KO Ariel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
15 FAZAL Sasha 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
16 MULHERN Eleanor 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
17 MEINING CHLOE 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
18 WANG MONA 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
19 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
19 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
21 KIM Jodie 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
22 SMITH Genevieve 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
23 PARK Gabriella 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
24 ZHANG Zoe Muchen 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
25 JUILLERAT Tabea 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
26 PORTNOY Elizabeth 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
27 MOSHAROVA Natalia 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
28 MOTOVA Masha 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
29 LEE Elise 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 21% 2%
30 LIU Teresa 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
31 HAGLER Alice 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
32 MADDISON Estelle 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
33 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 11%
34 OH Chloe 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
35 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
36 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
37 MADDISON Erica 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
38 KWAN Kelly 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
39 LIU Stephanie 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
40 KONDE Anika 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
41 SHTEYMAN Simone 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% - -
42 FREY Elise 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% -
43 ONG Katherine 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
44 MARGULIS Roxana 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 5%
45 MISHRA Riona 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
46 HU Sophia 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
47 YIN Xizi 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% 1%
48 POWERS Waverly 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
49 PURITZ Morgan 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
50 MAGITSKY Giadora 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
51 WEI Avril 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
52 AN Jasmine 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
53 HONG Eden 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
54 BROGAN Samantha 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
55 RIFKIN Talia 100% 87% 47% 12% 1% -
56 SHELDON Adriana 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
57 CHANG Grace 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
58 WU Abigail 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
59 FENG chloe 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
60 KIM Chloe 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
61 KRITZ Sofia 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
62 EL-NAZER Salwa 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
63 CHANG Daisy Yijin 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
64 POTDAR Harper 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
65 ALPEROVICH Madeline 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
66 KHAN Ayesha 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
67 GROSSMAN Ann 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
68 VALENCIA Sophie 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
69 BORROK Katherine 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.