Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
2 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
3 BYK Karalina 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 54%
3 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
5 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
6 ZHU Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 9%
7 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 24%
8 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
9 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
10 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 17%
11 WANG Joann 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 17%
13 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 53%
14 KIM Lael 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16% 1%
15 KOESTERS Cecilie 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 6%
16 GE Deanna 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 21%
17 MILLER Anna 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
18 SMART Athena 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
19 RUPERTI Aria 100% 75% 31% 6% < 1% - -
20 LAVOIE Cecilia 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 5%
21 CHANG Paige Yijae 100% 99% 80% 36% 6% -
22 JU Victoria 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27% 3%
23 KUKLINA Maria 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
24 CLOUD Chrystie 100% 97% 76% 29% 4% -
25 ZHU Alicia 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% - -
26 XU Elaina 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
27 ZELDIN Nina 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
28 TANG Clementine 100% 90% 57% 19% 2% - -
29 LIU Zihe 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2% -
30 JIN Emily 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
31 LU Sophia 100% 99% 84% 43% 8% -
32 SUI Jessie 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
33 CHUNG Sera 100% 96% 62% 19% 2% -
34 ZHU Joanna 100% 99% 91% 59% 15% 1%
35 JOVANOVIC Una 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% - -
36 MA Cloris 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
37 WANG Sally 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 1%
38 JAIN Adab 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
39 HALL Olivia 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
40 ZHENG Rachel 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
41 WANG Kelly 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% - -
42 PETERSEN Liv 100% 75% 25% 3% - -
43 GOMEZ Amelia 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3% -
44 YANG STELLA 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
45 CHIANG Ellie 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% - -
46 CLOUD Cailynn 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% - -
47 WANG Jacy 100% 25% 2% - - -
48 GIGUERE Ari 100% 98% 82% 44% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.