Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Alex 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
2 WONG Mac 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 WONG Reagan 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
5 ORIE Sohan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
6 LEVIN Jacob 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
7 WANG Edward 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
8 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
9 LIU Eric 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
10 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
11 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
12 STOLCKE Julian 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
13 SUH Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
14 LEE Damian 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
15 TASIKAS Pete 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
16 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
17 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
18 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
19 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
20 CORDERO Adam 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
21 LI Lucas 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
22 WU Vincent 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 10% 1%
23 AWAD Omar 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
24 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
25 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
26 CONG Mason 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
27 GAO Francis 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
28 CHEN Felix 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
29 NAYAGAM Nishant 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
30 HU Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
31 FAUSTO Aidan 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
32 GUPTA Arav 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1%
33 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
34 CHIANG Ethan 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
35 TANJGA Luka 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
36 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
37 MAGITSKY Isaac 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
38 MARSHQUIST Miles 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
39 HONG Isaac 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
40 KHAN AR Missing ID
40 SINGH Sumair 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
42 BRADIC Andreja 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
42 HOUPT Lucas 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
44 VINCENT Yijia 100% 84% 45% 12% 2% - -
45 LI Kent 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
46 CHIN Adrian 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
47 LEIGH Brayden 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
48 CHEN Leo 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
49 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.