Happy Cow Open & Youth

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 13, 2019 at 9:00 AM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BECKER Thomas 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
3 COLWELL Alex 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% < 1%
3 HUDSON Greg 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
5 GREEN Nicholas 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
6 DALTON Matthew 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
7 CHANG Aubin 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
9 MEYERS Peter 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
10 HARM Michael 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
11 ALARIE James 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
12 GREEN Zachary 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
13 OWENS Nathan J 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
14 MORRISON Chris 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
15 NORCONK Craig 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
16 HENDRIAN Rachel 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
17 NORCONK Claire 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
19 GRIFFIN Martha A. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
20 SAGE Kayla 100% 99% 88% 61% 25% 4%
21 OWENS Andrew 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
22 DRAYTON Hannah 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
23 GREEN Scott 100% 97% 76% 39% 10% 1%
24 BASS Simon 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
25 MAYO Eric 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
26 GREEN Douglas 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
27 NICHOLSON Dwayne 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
28 MCBURNEY Karen 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
29 LESPERANCE Jordan 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
30 SOMERLOTT Logan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.