Event Results

Y-14 Men's Saber

Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8Surprise Map

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM Power Sports Academy · Martinez, CA, USA

33 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	GRIGORIEV Roman	V V V V V V	V V V V V	5.7	6	+0.3
2	SOULES-ONO Makoa	V V V V V	V V V V D	4.5	5	+0.5
3	ZEYU wu	V V V V	V V V D	3.6	4	+0.4
3	YANG Jake	V V V V	V V D	2.6	4	+1.4
5	LUC Linkin	V V V V V V	V D	5.2	6	+0.8
6	MASAKI Alex	D V V V V V	V D	4.1	5	+0.9
7	KIM Enoch	V V D V	V V D	3.2	3	-0.2
8	LEE Kyle	V V V D V	V V D	3.9	4	+0.1
9	XU Ethan	V D V D V V	V D	2.0	4	+2.0
10	DUFF Michael	D V V V V D	V D	4.2	4	-0.2
11	ZHANG Hanzel Missing ID			0.0	0	-
12	TANG Morgan	D V V D	D	3.1	2	-1.1
13	ORLINO Sam	V D D V	V D	1.9	2	+0.1
14	LI Sky	D V D V V	V D	2.9	3	+0.1
15	XIE Jingwei	V D V D	V D	1.9	2	+0.1
16	KURBANOV Tamir	D D V D	V D	2.0	1	-1.0
17	CAO Chuck	V V D V V D	D	3.1	4	+0.9
18	ZHANG Peter	V V D D D V	D	2.8	3	+0.2
19	YU Albert	V D V D D	D	1.4	2	+0.6
20	CHEN Dylan	D V D V	D	0.7	2	+1.3
21	JECHA Zack Missing ID			0.0	0	-
22	VENKATRAMAN Sushil	D V D V D D		3.3	2	-1.3
23	CHEW Marcus	D D V D D V	D	0.6	2	+1.4
24	TOYOFUKU Lucas	D D D V D V	D	3.1	2	-1.1
25	LI Jason	V D D D D V	D	3.2	2	-1.2
26	BLACK Conall	D D D V D	D	1.7	1	-0.7
27	HAMPTON Nico Missing ID			0.0	0	-
28	PAVLENKOV Maxim	D V D D D D	D	1.4	1	-0.4
29	TSIH Brendan	D D D V D D	D	1.6	1	-0.6
30	WIEGMANN Liev	D D D D D D	D	1.5	0	-1.5
31	LORENTZEN Felix	D D D D		0.7	0	-0.7
32	WU Aiden	D D D D	V D	0.3	0	-0.3
33	NGUYEN Tristan	D D D D D	D	0.6	0	-0.6

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!