Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Jacey - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
2 LEE Emily - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
3 LIN Laura - 2% 20% 48% 31%
3 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella - - 5% 24% 45% 25%
5 ZHAO Ellie - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
6 LI Anna - 2% 22% 49% 27%
7 KIM Vivian - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
8 BURKS Madison - 1% 7% 25% 40% 25% 3%
9 BUDMAN Ava - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
10 SUNG Audrey 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
11 YUNG Bethany - 5% 27% 45% 23%
12 LI Allison - 2% 17% 43% 31% 7%
13 LI Yunxuan (Joy) - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9%
14 LIN Isabel - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
15 BUCA Nora - - 5% 27% 47% 21%
16 ARULKUMAR Lashia - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
17 XU Amy Missing ID
18 RASHID Summer - 9% 35% 41% 15%
19 HANKINS Morgan - - - - 4% 28% 67%
20 RADOV Una - 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
21 REN Ivanka 10% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
22 BI Zoey Missing ID
23 ZHU Anna 22% 46% 27% 5% - -
24 YU Chloe - 4% 24% 43% 24% 4%
25 CHEN Julia Z. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
26 HUANG Jui-An 4% 41% 40% 13% 2% -
27 LEONG Andrea 9% 46% 34% 9% 1%
28 DEJOY Leilah 8% 34% 42% 14% 2% -
29 SINGLETARY Iona 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
30 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 1% 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
31 BACK Ella 23% 40% 26% 9% 2% - -
32 TRUONG Audrey 30% 46% 20% 3% - -
33 DYMAR Anna - 7% 42% 40% 11%
34 LEE Adelynn - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
35 KANDALA Aanya - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
36 RAPTIS Layla 11% 44% 33% 10% 1% - -
37 KAYMAN June 44% 47% 8% 1% -
38 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 1% 18% 44% 29% 7% 1%
39 WANG Nicole - 7% 32% 43% 18%
40 CHANG Mikayla 81% 18% 1% - - -
41 STEPHAN Ella Whitney 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
42 SMIRNOVA Evangelina 69% 27% 3% - -
43 WARBURTON Eleanor 61% 33% 5% - - - -
43 TAGKOPOULOS Bella 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
45 SIDHU Myra 37% 52% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.