Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Jacey 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 18%
2 LEE Emily 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
3 LIN Laura 100% 100% 98% 78% 31%
3 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
5 ZHAO Ellie 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
6 LI Anna 100% 100% 98% 76% 27%
7 KIM Vivian 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
8 BURKS Madison 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
9 BUDMAN Ava 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
10 SUNG Audrey 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
11 YUNG Bethany 100% 100% 95% 68% 23%
12 LI Allison 100% 100% 98% 81% 38% 7%
13 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
14 LIN Isabel 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
15 BUCA Nora 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 21%
16 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
17 XU Amy Missing ID
18 RASHID Summer 100% 100% 91% 56% 15%
19 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
20 RADOV Una 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
21 REN Ivanka 100% 90% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
22 BI Zoey Missing ID
23 ZHU Anna 100% 78% 32% 5% - -
24 YU Chloe 100% 100% 96% 72% 29% 4%
25 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
26 HUANG Jui-An 100% 96% 55% 15% 2% -
27 LEONG Andrea 100% 91% 44% 10% 1%
28 DEJOY Leilah 100% 92% 58% 16% 2% -
29 SINGLETARY Iona 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
30 CHIOU-WILLIAMS Matea 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
31 BACK Ella 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
32 TRUONG Audrey 100% 70% 23% 3% - -
33 DYMAR Anna 100% 100% 92% 51% 11%
34 LEE Adelynn 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
35 KANDALA Aanya 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
36 RAPTIS Layla 100% 89% 45% 12% 2% - -
37 KAYMAN June 100% 56% 9% 1% -
38 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 100% 99% 80% 37% 7% 1%
39 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 93% 61% 18%
40 CHANG Mikayla 100% 19% 1% - - -
41 STEPHAN Ella Whitney 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
42 SMIRNOVA Evangelina 100% 31% 3% - -
43 WARBURTON Eleanor 100% 39% 6% - - - -
43 TAGKOPOULOS Bella 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
45 SIDHU Myra 100% 63% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.