Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC/Y8

Cadet Women's Foil

Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Power Sports Academy - Martinez, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHAN Mila 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
3 MA Isabelle 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
5 LI Alice 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
6 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
7 JOESUF Thea 100% 98% 83% 42% 9% 1%
8 KIM Natalie 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 17%
9 CHAN Ella 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
10 ARYA Leela 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
11 SHEN Gloria 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
12 LEE Abigail 100% 100% 96% 63% 4%
13 CHO Karis 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
14 AHN Hayley 100% 99% 92% 60% 18% 2%
15 HSU Emily 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
16 FANG Kelervia 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 14%
17 LI Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
18 TEWARI Amaira 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
19 KIM Lauren 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
20 COLIC LANI 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
21 JIN Jada Y 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
22 LAVERY Lucy 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
23 ZHANG Katie Q. 100% 76% 27% 4% - -
24 JOESUF Aurielle 100% 98% 80% 23% -
25 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 92% 58% 18% 2% -
26 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 98% 79% 38% 9% 1%
27 YANG Hanli 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
28 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 99% 85% 48% 12% 1%
29 HSU Rachel 100% 99% 89% 54% 15% 1%
30 LIN Avery 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
31 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
32 POEI Meagan 100% 78% 35% 7% 1%
33 PAN Samantha 100% 91% 57% 18% 2%
34 DVOIRIS Maya 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
35 YU Xintong 100% 82% 41% 9% 1%
36 THERIOT Reagan 100% 68% 15% 1% -
37 TAN Shouyin 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
38 CHENG Audrey 100% 98% 82% 41% 9% 1%
39 TAI Taphanie 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
40 IRELAND Moira 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% -
41 YANG Byanca 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
42 BHANGOO Paloma 100% 86% 41% 9% 1% -
42 FENG Sophia 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
44 SOUSA Lauren 100% 52% 8% - -
45 WANG Ellen 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
46 LIU Madeleine 100% 43% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.