7th Annual Precision Invitational RYC and RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Friday, April 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	WU Gengze (Daniel)	-	-	-	4%	18%	42%	36%
2	JIN Yucheng	-	1%	9%	35%	49%	7%
3	EVANS Desmond	-	-	-	-	3%	24%	74%
3	ZHOU jiatong	-	-	2%	15%	43%	39%
5	LIN Sampson	-	-	2%	12%	36%	40%	11%
6	TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen	-	-	-	1%	11%	40%	47%
7	MENG Andy	-	-	5%	25%	45%	24%
8	MA Justin	1%	6%	22%	38%	28%	6%
9	ZHANG William	-	1%	9%	40%	50%
10	WANG Eason	-	1%	12%	35%	39%	12%
11	TROYANKER Makar	-	1%	6%	25%	44%	24%
12	XU Daniel	-	-	4%	21%	43%	29%	3%
13	LEE Juneau	-	-	4%	21%	41%	28%	5%
14	WU Silin	-	1%	6%	22%	36%	28%	7%
15	MENG Eric	3%	21%	45%	27%	4%
16	YIN Luke	1%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%	-
17	CHENG Alvin	-	-	4%	23%	43%	27%	3%
18	TAN benjamin	1%	10%	30%	37%	19%	3%
19	HUANG Owen	-	7%	33%	45%	14%
20	WANG Charles	1%	10%	32%	38%	17%	2%
21	ZHANG alex	-	5%	23%	41%	26%	5%
22	SASOMSUP Kaison	8%	31%	39%	18%	3%	-
23	LEE Elliot	1%	8%	25%	35%	23%	7%	1%
24	KIM Ryan	2%	14%	33%	33%	16%	3%	-
25	ZUO Thomas	6%	40%	39%	12%	2%	-	-
26	WU Kangdi	5%	24%	39%	26%	6%	1%	-
27	KUK Francis	-	6%	23%	35%	26%	8%	1%
28	LIN Evan	1%	13%	37%	36%	13%	1%
29	LIU Kingston	32%	44%	20%	4%	-	-
30	BAGWELL Theodore	-	3%	17%	41%	31%	8%	-
31	NGO Lincoln	2%	14%	35%	34%	13%	2%	-
32	KIM Noah	23%	42%	27%	7%	1%	-	-
33	KHANDAN MILAN	34%	47%	16%	2%	-
34	ZHOU Osborn	28%	47%	22%	3%	-
35	BHANGOO Arman	5%	34%	40%	18%	3%	-
36	GOLDSMID Owen	16%	37%	32%	12%	2%	-
37	NGUYEN Rhys	3%	26%	45%	22%	4%	-	-
38	NGUYEN Remy	18%	41%	30%	10%	1%	-
39	DOMANTAY Dylan	16%	40%	32%	10%	1%	-	-
40	HOVAGHIMIAN Atticus	57%	34%	8%	1%	-	-	-
41	LIEU Kenneth	71%	25%	3%	-	-	-
42	SINGH Shiv	13%	39%	35%	11%	1%	-
43	ZHAO Jonathan Li	< 1%	6%	26%	43%	22%	3%
45	KWOK Ethan	68%	28%	4%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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