Mission Snowed Out Showdown and Icebreaker Challenge

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIANG Morgan - - - 5% 31% 62% 2%
2 STOLCKE Julian - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
3 BEAL Colton - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
3 PARK Sean - 2% 13% 36% 38% 10%
5 SONG Ryan 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
6 ZALETAEV Jacob - - 2% 12% 41% 46%
7 KONG Ethan 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
8 SHAPIRO Leo - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
9 CHAN Ewan - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8%
10 O'KEEFE Brody - 1% 9% 33% 43% 13% 1%
12 PARK Layne - 1% 12% 34% 39% 14%
13 DMYTRUK Alexander 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
14 ARUN Viyaan - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
15 BRADIC Andreja 1% 14% 38% 34% 12% 1%
16 FAUSTO Aidan - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
17 CHEN Ryan 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
18 TERENTIEV Michael - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
19 GAW Christian 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
19 TO Aiden - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
21 GAW Zachary 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
22 LI Sebastian 6% 28% 40% 22% 5% - -
23 SIMEONIDIS Aris - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
24 LEE Shane Gunn 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 4%
25 ZOU Eli - - - < 1% 3% 23% 74%
26 BALBALE Zayd - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
27 URTUBI Sebastian - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
28 HUANG KIMBALL 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
29 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 1% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2% -
30 BARAVARIAN Cole 19% 47% 27% 6% 1% -
30 SEDAKA Dylan 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
32 CASTON James 13% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
33 VINCENT Yijia 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
34 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
35 ANDRADE Ian 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
36 VITALE NIKO 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
37 YUN Matthew 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
38 DARLING Andrew 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
39 LI FangKe 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
40 SEARS Max 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
41 CHEN Joshua 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
42 LOU Ethan 44% 42% 12% 1% - -
43 ONEILL Daniel 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
44 LEV Iaroslav 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
44 EASLEY Braddock 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
46 PALERMO Evan 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.