Mission Snowed Out Showdown and Icebreaker Challenge

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64% 2%
2 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
3 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 PARK Sean 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
5 SONG Ryan 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
6 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
7 KONG Ethan 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
8 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
9 CHAN Ewan 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
10 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 13% 1%
12 PARK Layne 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 14%
13 DMYTRUK Alexander 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
14 ARUN Viyaan 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
15 BRADIC Andreja 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
16 FAUSTO Aidan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
17 CHEN Ryan 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
18 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
19 GAW Christian 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
19 TO Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
21 GAW Zachary 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
22 LI Sebastian 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% - -
23 SIMEONIDIS Aris 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
24 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 4%
25 ZOU Eli 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
26 BALBALE Zayd 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
27 URTUBI Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
28 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
29 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2% -
30 BARAVARIAN Cole 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% -
30 SEDAKA Dylan 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -
32 CASTON James 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
33 VINCENT Yijia 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
34 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
35 ANDRADE Ian 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
36 VITALE NIKO 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
37 YUN Matthew 100% 60% 18% 2% - -
38 DARLING Andrew 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
39 LI FangKe 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
40 SEARS Max 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
41 CHEN Joshua 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
42 LOU Ethan 100% 56% 14% 1% - -
43 ONEILL Daniel 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
44 LEV Iaroslav 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
44 EASLEY Braddock 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
46 PALERMO Evan 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.