NIFC 3 Weapon Spring Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Northwest Indiana Fencing Club - St John, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROBINSON Keegan B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
2 GLEASON Cole 100% 100% 98% 79% 28% 1%
3 MOORE Stephen 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
3 GRANSTROM Colin 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
5 KAROLAK Dale W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 54%
6 FITZGERALD Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 38% 6%
7 COOK Aaron N. 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 3%
8 BUTTA Reese 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
9 BECERRA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9%
10 FUJIMURA Hiro 100% 99% 82% 30% 4% - -
11 WARNING Jacob 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
12 HOEHLE Stacy A. 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
13 BUTTA Robert 100% 98% 81% 38% 6% - -
14 BOERSMA Aubrey 100% 99% 85% 44% 10% 1%
15 MIERNICKI .JR Robert 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
16 REESE Lauren 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
17 SPOOLSTRA Abigail 100% 94% 61% 20% 3% -
18 KING Tony 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
19 SPOOLSTRA Shari 100% 96% 69% 28% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.