Tucson Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 1:15 PM

University of Arizona - Tucson, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
2 BLUM Chaston 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
3 NEUMANN Freya 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
3 KAPASHIKOV Constantine 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 5%
5 BINDER Ayven 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
6 CHEN Chang Chun 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
7 ROLDAN Ethan 100% 94% 63% 21% 3% -
8 MATTA Sebastian 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
9 HERRON Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
10 WALLIS Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
11 TAARIQ Tanisha 100% 99% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
12 HOWIE Ryan 100% 100% 95% 69% 28% 5%
13 PABLO Jesse 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
14 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
15 KELLEHER Cash 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
16 CHENIER Amelia 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
17 BROWNING Abraham 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
18 ORELUP Austin 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
19 STAFURIK John (Jack) W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
20 FESTIN Michael G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
21 CRUZ Jr Alberto 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 5%
22 COIMBATORE Dillon 100% 100% 96% 66% 26% 5% -
23 SCHWENK Cody D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
24 FEDERICO William 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
25 PABLO Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 14%
26 ASKEW Annabel 100% 100% 88% 54% 18% 3%
27 FORBES Samantha 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
28 CORDASCO Caleb 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
29 FRANZ Lyllian 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
30 FELDMAN Louis 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
31 SANBORN Dimitri 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
32 PORRAS Michael 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% - -
33 WANG Rienna 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
34 CUEVAS Tom 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
35 SMITH Samuel J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
36 FOX Jackson 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
37 ANDERSON Donald 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
38 MORGAN Elijah 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
39 SARMIENTO John 100% 96% 31% 4% - -
40 MARTINEZ Landon 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 3%
41 ADELSON Michael 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
42 ALLEN Sydney 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
43 CHAVEZ Andres 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% -
44 KEYSER PACHECO ofelia 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
45 ROLDAN Madison 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
46 FRUMKIN Lucia 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.